China’s
Other Boomtowns: An Emerging Second-Tier Market
When people talk
about the China
market, it is usually names like Beijing,
Shanghai, Guangzhou or Shenzhen that leap
to mind. No doubt, these cities have represented
the centers of the steady, rapid
growth that the world has witnessed in
China, especially during the ’80s and the ’90s.
However, driven by socio-economic shifts,
their success has also given rise to an emerging
second-tier market where an even greater
scale of vibrant growth will continue.
This second-tier market consists of major cities found in regions
and provinces surrounding the first-tier growth centers named above.
They include:
- Changsha, Chongqing, Fuzhou and Wenzhou, neighboring the southern
coastal Guangdong (the Pearl River Delta) and Fujian Provinces
- Hangzhou, Nanjing and Wuhan, centering around Shanghai (the
Yangtze River Delta)
- Qingdao, Jinan, Dalian, Shenyang and Tianjin, flanking Beijing
(the Bohai Sea Delta)
- The West and the rest: Cities further west such as Baotou,
Xi’an,
Chengdu and Kunming are also coming on strong as growth leaders
under China’s latest “Go West” development
program. Harbin in the northeast, with strong Russian ties,
should be also
watched.
CHINA OPENS ITS DOORS
Before the 1980s, China, while under
Mao Zedong’s leadership, took pride in its
self-sufficiency. After Deng Xiaoping came to
power at the end of the 1970s, a bold reform
and opening policy was implemented, setting
the course for a market economy and opening
China’s door to foreign investment and
trade. Overseas investors—at first small and
medium-size manufacturers from Hong Kong
and Taiwan, followed by Japanese, European
and American multinationals—came to the
scene. As a result, buffer zones—the so-called
jingji tequ (Special Economic Zones, or
SEZs)—were established to help deal with a
completely different economic system from
outside the country.
A MANUFACTURING
POWERHOUSE
Shenzhen in the province of Guangdong, a
city across the border from Hong Kong, was
the first of such SEZs and has remained the
most prominent even to date because of its
proximity to Hong Kong. Its importance is
such that its mayor, unlike other city mayors,
ranks as high as a provincial governor in the
Chinese bureaucracy.
Tens of billions of dollars, mostly from
SME manufacturers in Hong Kong, have since
poured into this former rural village and
flowed into its surrounding cities and
towns throughout the province—the region
where most of the Hong Kong population
is from and where common dialects, Cantonese
being the main one, are shared—creating a
manufacturing powerhouse region known as
the Pearl River Delta. The industries there
mirror those traditional strongholds of Hong
Kong during the 1960s and 1970s: toys,
apparel, gifts, watches and jewelry, and
consumer electronics.
Those labor-intensive industries demanded
vast manpower, and millions of young
peasants in their late teens or early twenties
from poorer inland provinces, especially
those nearby ones with high population densities
such as Hunan and Sichuan, have since
been drawn to Guangdong by the prospect of
earning a salary 10 times what they could get
at home.
To solve the hukou (residence quota) and
its related food rationing problems, employers
started providing dormitory-style room
and board to these migrant workers. This
method has worked so well that it has
become a standard practice throughout the
southern coastal regions where large numbers
of migrant workers live and work. It has not
only enabled employers to better control
their workers and maximize efficiency and
productivity, the economy of scale has also
helped them trim costs otherwise needed to
make their salary competitive were the workers
to find room and board individually on
their own. Moreover, it has also allowed the
workers to send home more savings.
All the money that the migrant workers
have sent back has injected much needed
capital into local economies. What’s more,
many of them, although not the majority,
were able to save enough and go home to
start their own businesses. Apparently the
cumulative economic stimulation from these
entrepreneurial and investment activities was not
insignificant. Tens of millions of migrant
workers in the Pearl River Delta region have
come from Sichuan and Hunan—two of
China’s most populous provinces. Coupled
with a fast-growing market economy—while
both provinces are major agricultural producers,
they are also key industrial players, with
Hunan boasting rich mineral resources and
Sichuan supplying iron, copper and coal—it is
no surprise that major cities like Changsha,
the capital of Hunan, and Chongqing, the
largest city in Sichuan, all have seen rapid
development since the late 1990s.
THE TAIWAN INFLUENCE
Since there is no direct transport link
between the Communist-ruled mainland and
Taiwan and since Hong Kong is the most convenient
third-party transit point, the
Taiwanese investors, mostly SMEs, also
entered the mainland market through
Shenzhen. Later, many Taiwanese investors
went farther up along the coast to Fujian
Province, which is separated from Taiwan only
by a sea strait of the same name—it would
have been the most convenient place to
reach had the mainland and Taiwan established
transport links. Again, just as
Guangdong is where most of the Hong Kong
population finds their ancestry, Fujian represents
Taiwan’s cultural roots and thus shares
the same dialects with most of the Taiwanese
population. Taiwan-backed businesses have
flourished there, creating another hot growth
center around a Shenzhen-like boomtown
called Xiamen. Again, as in the case of the
Pearl River Delta and Hong Kong, the manufacturing
industries in this region have more or
less mimicked those representative of Taiwan
during the 1970s and early 1980s, such as plastic
and rubber-based consumer products.
During the 1990s, while the Hong Kong
and Taiwanese SMEs were continuing to
invest in what was now a much expanded
coastal area in the south and were busy reaping
huge returns through drastically depressed
labor, property and material costs, large
multinationals from Japan, Europe and the
U.S. were eager to tap into the metropolises
further north, namely, the Greater Shanghai
and the Great Beijing areas. The Japanese (followed
by the South Koreans) have a particular
interest in northeastern China, especially the
coastal cities like Dalian and Shenyang, not
only because of the geographical proximity,
but also because of the historic ties they have
had with the area, dating back to pre-World
War II days when the entire northeast of
China (known as Manchuria back then) was
under Japanese occupation.
HONG KONG HANDOVER
After the transfer of Hong Kong from
British to Chinese rule, a large number of
multinationals relocated their Asian Pacific
headquarters from Hong Kong to Shanghai.
Shanghai was already Asia’s financial center
before the Communists took power in
1949. Although the Communist rule stripped
away its financial role, Shanghai continued to
develop as China’s most prominent industrial
center and seaport throughout Mao’s reign.
Championed by the new government under
Deng’s leadership, the effort to return the city
to its former financial prominence had
already begun by the mid-’90s, even ahead of
the handover of Hong Kong. The influx of foreign
multinationals as well as their capital
following the handover helped speed up this
process. As a result, Pudong, a new district in
Shanghai built from scratch in the late 1990s
to help re-erect a world-class financial center,
has experienced incredible advances in both
its appearance and its property valuation. In
fact, Shanghai’s recent winning bid to host the
2010 World’s Fair helped set off another “gold
rush” in its real estate market.
MANUFACTURING HUB
With Shanghai and its surrounding areas
attracting massive foreign direct investment
during the late 1990s, a new manufacturing
hub—characterized by heavier, larger-scale
industries backed by multinationals from
around the world—was gradually established
in the region, forming what is now known as
the Yangtze River Delta. Over time the economic
ripple effect has benefited many
neighboring cities, such as Suzhou, Ningbo,
Hangzhou (capital of Zhejiang Province) and
Nanjing (capital of Jiangsu Province).
2008 OLYMPIC GAMES
After Shanghai, Beijing is China’s next
most important metropolis. As the nation’s
capital, Beijing has always enjoyed its lion’s
share of the national wealth, and it has
always been well supplied and well nourished
through thick and thin. Beijing has always had
a developed look and feel from the outset,
even before Deng’s reforms took place. Its latest
modernization has been mostly marked by
massive infrastructure upgrades, particularly
the “Ring Road” highway system around the
city. Its hosting of the 1998 Asian Games
brought about the first round of such
upgrades, followed by the bidding to host the
2008 Olympic Games and now the actual
build-up for the Olympics.
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
One of the most prominent aspects of
Beijing is that it houses a huge central government
bureaucracy. To understand its structure,
one must realize that the Communist Party of China
(CPC) represents both the
source and the core of all political
power in
this country, since
a CPC membership
is a prerequisite
for all government
positions, with
the exception
of the People’s
Political
Consultative
Conference (PPCC).
However,
leaders of every
central government
branch
(including PPCC)
come directly
from the
Communist Party’s governing body—the
Central Committee
of the CPC (CCCPC).
At
the center of
CCCPC is its
Political
Bureau
(Politburo),
which is governed
by
a Standing
Committee (currently
with nine members).
A DIRECT SHIPPING
LINK
With a long industrial
history stemming
from both foreign
occupation during
the
early part of
the 20th century
and
Russian
aid during the
1950s, a number
of major
cities in provinces
surrounding Beijing
have
very strong industrial
bases. Qingdao
in
Shandong Province,
for example,
boasts one
of China’s
largest seaports.
In fact, it now
enjoys a direct
shipping link
to and from
Boston provided
by the China
Ocean Shipping
Co. (COSCO) and
its partners.
The weekly
sailings from
each port to
the other
have cut
the transit time
by a week or
more since
the
direct link was
established in
March 2002
(Qingdao to Boston)
and March 2003
(Boston
to Qingdao).
The province
itself
is rich in
petroleum, natural
gas, coal, gold,
iron,
diamonds and
bauxite. Similarly,
Shenyang, capital of Liaoning
Province and
China’s
fifth
largest city,
is a transportation
(rail
and
highway) and
commerce hub
in the northeast
supported by
satellite cities
with abundant
natural resources:
Anshan (“Steel City”),
Fushun (“Coal City”), Benxi (“Iron City”),
and Fuxin (“Electricity City”).
INDUSTRY CLUSTERS
Wool and Cashmere:
Further west,
Baotou in Inner
Mongolia claims
more than
70 percent
of the world’s
entire rare
earth deposit
and
some of the
world’s
finest wool
and cashmere.
It also boasts
such
natural
resources as
iron, the nation’s
second largest
coal deposit
and one-sixth
of the
country’s
timber reserve.
Electronics:
South of Baotou,
Xi’an,
capital of
Shaanxi Province and
a central
city in China’s latest “Go West” development
plan, has a
mature semiconductor
and electronics
industry from
its aerospace/defense
industry origin.
Tourism: Further
southwest,
the capital
city of Yunnan
Province,
Kunming,
a trading hub
with Indochina
countries
and an
ethnic tourism
destination,
together with
neighboring
provincial
capital cities
Guiyang
(Guizhou Province)
and Nanning
(Guangxi
Province),
form another
cluster
of emerging
markets in
the West.
VIRGIN TERRITORY
With China’s WTO entry at the end of
2001, designating
a whole
city as a Special
Economic
Zone (SEZ)
with
wholesale
preferential
policies
has fast
become
a thing
of the
past. Instead,
smaller,
more focused,
industrial
park-like
economic
and technology
development
zones (ETDZs)
or areas
have mushroomed
in all
major cities
throughout
the
country. Among them, the most prominent
ones are those that have been approved by
the central government and received national
development zone status. Like their larger predecessors,
the ETDZs offer resident businesses many incentives such as tax
breaks and
better infrastructure.
The early growth centers during the 1980s
and 1990s have been largely saturated by
Hong Kong and Taiwan manufacturers (most
in southern coastal provinces) and Global
1000 multinationals (most in mega cities up
north). The second-tier market described here
represents not only a vast virgin territory for
everyone, but also potential niche opportunities
for American SMEs who nowadays feel
the increasing need to enter the China market.
They are either being pressured by their
customers who want their supply chain to
follow them into China, or being drawn to
the country by its great market or cost-saving
potential. Or they simply may be pushed
away by meager domestic market conditions.
SELL TO CHINA
China has become a formidable manufacturing
competitor to many U.S. SMEs, and
many of them have since transformed their
business model from a manufacturing one to
primarily a sourcing one. To others who can’t
easily do that, the key is to sell the Chinese
what they don’t have but need, such as technology
and know-how, or raw materials that
they don’t possess. For the former, the trick is
try to combine know-how or technology
with something tangible. A good example is
high-end medical equipment. As for the latter,
China is a large buyer of nickel in the
international market.
With many of the severe financial problems
that China is facing—notably its gigantic
bank bad-debt and huge savings as its thrifty
population saves even more in anticipation of
rising unemployment—the country has to rely
on three main lifelines to stay afloat: namely,foreign direct
investment, exports and public spending on infrastructure development.
While an appreciated currency
against the dollar would make returns in
local currency (RMB Yuan) from exiting
investments more attractive after converting
them back into dollars, it would
discourage new investments from coming
in because a lower exchange rate
(from the current RMB 8.2 = US$1) would
result in a smaller investment in the
local currency. In addition, an appreciated
RMB would no doubt hurt China’s exports. What’s more,
higher interest rates associated with a more valuable RMB would
render all capital-intensive infrastructure projects more costly
to build. The government has already been having a hard time
stimulating consumer spending. Higher interest rates would certainly
make the situation worse. Given these circumstances, it is unlikely
China will want to appreciate its currency in the short run.
Apparently, that is what it told the United States. With its
promise to do so in the near future, though, China may be looking
for a window of opportunity that could bring about maximum benefits,
such as when the country needs to be on a shopping spree for
products and services ramping to its 2008 Olympics.
China’s Leading Emerging Areas
Zones
CHANGSHA NATIONAL
ECONOMIC AND
TECHNICAL
DEVELOPMENT ZONE
Located in the eastern suburb of Changsha,
the capital city of Hunan Province (a neighboring
province of Guangdong to its north),
CNETDZ was first established in 1992 and later
approved and designated by China’s State
Council in 2000 as a national-class economic
and technology development zone.
Infrastructure: Occupying a total planned
area of 60 square kilometers (23.4 square
miles), CNETDZ is strategically situated at the
juncture of several national/regional highways,
with Changsha’s main transport terminals—the
Huanghua International Airport, Changsha
Train Station, Xiangjiang River Port, as well as
the site for a planned freight train terminal— all
within an eight kilometer (five mile) radius. The development
zone is also supported by
excellent infrastructure: a water plant of
160,000 tons-per-day capacity, a sewage plant
capable of processing 10,000 tons of waste
water daily, a 200,000-line capacity telephone
network, high-speed broadband on fiber optic,
a 2.4 million kilowatt power supply capacity with
more to be added, and a natural gas
and liquefied propane pipeline network.
Facilities: To make the zone more business-
friendly and a better place to live and
work, CNETDZ also provides residential
quarters for constituent companies in the
zone to house their employees. What’s
more, it features three higher education
institutions, two secondary and five
primary schools, and a variety of other
quality-of-life-enhancing facilities, such as
hospitals, hotels and recreational facilities
like a golf course and tennis courts. In addition
to these physical amenities, CNETDZ
also provides a range of value-added services
including a start-up incubation center,
a logistics hub and a consultancy to help
bridge its member companies to the outside
marketplace.
Industry mix: Currently, the industries
that the constituent companies in the zone
represent include 1) manufacturing: construction
machinery, automotive, transport,
electrical and environmental equipment,
and meters; 2) electronics and IT: monitors
and displays (e.g., an LG Philips joint venture),
digital audio/visual products, and
telecommunications network products;
3) printing and packaging; 4) consumer
electronics: PDAs, automotive/power/medical/
communications electronic devices;
5) food and beverages (e.g., a Coca-Cola joint
venture); 6) new materials: environmental
batteries and power storage materials, new
construction materials, and bio materials;
7) bio-engineering; and others.
Preferential policies: To further encourage businesses
to set up operations in the zone, CNETDZ also offers tax breaks
and other incentives as part of the preferential policies granted
to national-class economic and technology development zones by
the central government. For example, foreign-invested manufacturing
operations will be exempt from all local taxes for 10 years, with
zero income tax for the first two years and half for the following
three years.
Contacts: Changsha National Economic and Technical
Development Zone Management Committee, Xingsha Town, Changsha Eastern
Suburb, Hunan, Postal Code 410100, P.R. China. Tel: (86-731) 401-8336
and 401-1101, Fax: (86-731) 441-6898, 401-1108 and 401-6143. Web
site: www.ncetdz.gov.cn. E-mail: buchun@csx.gov.cn. Contact Person:
Shuxun (William) Wen, executive director.
QINGDAO
INTERNATIONAL
SME
INDUSTRIAL PARK
A
fast-growing local
economy, coupled
with
continuously improving
port facilities
and
strong marine
research, has
enabled
Qingdao
(formally “Tsingtao”),
a coastal city
in Shandong
Province, to
attract
increasing
foreign investment,
including some
100 of
the Global
500 companies, such
as Coca-Cola,
Lucent, Degussa,
Nestle,
Mitsubishi,
Pirelli, America
AB Company,
LG, Carrefour
and Maersk,
who have
not only commenced
production or
operation here,
but
who also
have realized
huge returns.
Under
the leadership
of Qingdao
Municipal
Economic Commission,
a prominent
government
organization
promoting foreign
cooperation,
business
and trade, Qingdao
International
Cooperation
Association
of Small & Medium-sized Enterprises
is one
of the
largest
and
the most
effective
organizations in Qingdao.
It
serves
more than
30,000
constituent enterprises
in
the area,
helping
them
build partnerships with
others
at
home and
abroad. In
2002 alone,
it organized
more
than 20
matchmaking
trade
missions
to many
countries in
the world,
including
the
United States,
Europe,
Japan,
South
Korea, Russia
and
Brazil.
It
has
also
received
more than
10 delegations
from the
United
States,
France, Holland,
Germany,
Japan,
South
Korea, Taiwan
and Hong
Kong,
achieving
great results
in cross-border
business
cooperation.
To
help
further
advance
the
development and
globalization
of
Qingdao
industries, and
to
make
Qingdao
more
investment-friendly, the
Association
founded
Qingdao Industrial
Park
for